56, 95% CI 1.22–1.99) and negatively associated with number of people in the household (OR 0.20, 95% CI 0.08–0.48). The effect of contact age was small and not significant. The association between index case viral load and contact infection was not maintained

in multivariate analysis. The current study sought to systematically detect A(H1N1)pdm09 index selleck kinase inhibitor cases within a random household cohort and then intensively investigate viral RNA shedding and symptoms in household members to obtain unbiased estimates of transmission. The vast majority of household members appeared to be susceptible to infection based on pre-pandemic A(H1N1)pdm09 HI and MN titres. Eleven household contacts were infected, but 5 (45%) did not develop symptoms. Virus genetic sequencing indicated learn more that 10 (91%) were infected within the household rather than from the

community, enabling a more precise estimate of SIR. The majority of transmission involved mothers and children with a serial interval of around 2 days. The study was not powered to identify small effects on transmission but wet cough in the index case was found to have a significant effect. Studies such as this are also essential to provide precise estimations of incubation period, duration of virus shedding and relation of shedding to symptoms. In the current study index and secondary cases were similar in terms of age, virus RNA shedding and symptoms. In contrast, studies using case ascertainment designs report a tendency for more severe symptoms and higher viral shedding for index cases,15 and 16 Histone demethylase a bias that could lead to over-inflated SIR estimates. Factors other than severity can also influence health care

seeking, leading to bias in case ascertainment studies. Surveys conducted in France and England during the A(H1N1)pdm09 pandemic found that the proportion of self-defined ILI cases that sought care was highest for children and males aged below 25 years.29 and 30 The cohort study design used here facilitated confirmation of susceptibility to infection by serology on pre-pandemic sera. Nevertheless, some index case household members may have had asymptomatic or mild infection before the index case was detected because they seroconverted without ILI or detection of virologically confirmed infection during investigation of the index case episode. This scenario would mean that fewer were susceptible. Virus genetic sequencing enabled discrimination of household from community transmission and we demonstrated that one index case household member was infected in the community rather than in the household. The within and between household genetic diversity is in agreement with other studies,31, 32, 33 and 34 and the magnitude of sequence diversity within individuals, households and between households was consistent with the study of Poon et al.33 Pascalis et al.